California has Excess Power
California has excess power without nuclear, according to data from the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), the California Energy Commission (CEC) and the electricity grid operator, the California Independent System Operator (ISO).
The ISO has plans to keep us in power for all of 2013 without San Onofre. This includes electricity needed for peak load periods in the summer as well as voltage and grid stability. They state “…the reliability risks to southern Orange and San Diego counties are “marginally more challenging” this summer, but still within planning standards.” See ISO 5/6/2013 News Release.
- Handout: No Blackouts With San Onofre Shut Down
- California has Excess Power Without Nuclear Factsheet
- ISO 2013 Summer Load and Resource Assessment 5/6/2013
- ISO Briefing: Summer 2013 Outlook & SONGS Mitigation Planning 3/20/2013 These solutions address 2013 reliability needs without excessive reliance on load-dropping schemes:
- Convert Huntington Beach units 3 & 4 into synchronous condensers for voltage support only.See details in this FERC filing. The annual millions of dollars of costs are itemized at the end of the report (Attachment A). Also see FERC decision to deny JP Morgan’s attempt to stop the conversion to synchronous condensers, and FERC 1/4/2013 order on reliability must run agreement (references ownership of HB 3 & 4 by Edison)
- Install capacitors (80 MVAR each at Santiago and Johanna, 160 MVAR at Viejo).
- Split Barre-Ellis 220 kV circuits (from 2 to 4 lines).
- Confirm new resources South of Lugo.
- Support adequate funding for Flex Alerts and continue to explore applicable demand response.
- CPUC 5/10/2013 approved sale of electricity marketing rights at Huntington Beach and two other natural gas-fired plants from JP Morgan Chase to Southern California Edison, clearing the way for summer improvements to the region’s power grid. (UTSanDiego 5/14/13)
- ISO Briefing: Nuclear Generation Studies Preliminary Results 12/13-14/2012
- ISO Legislative and State Regulatory Update Memo 12/6/2012
- California ISO prepares for another potential summer without San Onofre generation – 9/13/2012
- ISO Addendum to 2013 Load Capacity and Technical Analysis without San Onofre – 9/20/2012
- ISO Presentation: Briefing on Summer 2013 Outlook – SONGS Mitigation 9/13/2012
- ISO Presentation: Overview Preliminary Reliability Assessment Results 2012/2013 (w/o San Onofre portion is near end of document) 9/26-27/2012
- CEC request to ISO for 2013 and 2014 plan without San Onofre 9/13/2012
- SDG&E Presentation: 2012 Grid Assessment Results – ISO 9/26-27/2012
- 2012/2013 ISO Reliability Assessment Results for San Diego Gas & Electric
- 2012/2013 ISO Reliability Assessment Results for North of SONGS
- No rolling blackouts with San Onofre shut down – ISO 3/22/2012
- ISO Presentation: Briefing on Summer 2012 Operations Preparedness – 3/22/2012
- CEC Summer 2011 Electricity Supply and Demand Outlook
- CEC AB 1632 Report – Assessment of California’s Nuclear Power Plants
- CPUC 04-14-2011 Senate Energy, Utilities, and Communications Committee Informational Hearing: After Japan: Nuclear Power Plant Safety in California
- California ISO 2010-2011 Transmission Plan
- “The study results from various studies show that there are no thermal overloads, voltage or stability concerns related to the SONGS [San Onofre] units under normal or emergency conditions. Following plots for two of the most severe contingencies and for a sudden loss of load demonstrate that there are no stability concerns related to SONGS units.” [Page 155]
- Non-nuclear once-through cooling (OTC) power plants will be shut down first as the 33% renewables come on-line. The OTC nuclear power plants will remain on-line. [Page 274]. [See also CAISO Once-Through Cooling Generation.]
- California ISO 2011-2012 Transmission Plan
- The study results from various studies show that there are no thermal overloads or transient stability concerns related to the SONGS units under normal or emergency conditions. In 2021, SONGS G-2 [both reactors off-line] contingency results in post-transient divergence. This can be mitigated by increasing generation in the LA Basin. The ISO has historically addressed this concern by maintaining minimum generation dispatch requirements in Southern California in accordance with the SCIT Nomogram. No additional mitigation is considered necessary other than periodically updating and following established minimum generation requirements.
- The following plots for two of the most severe contingencies and for a sudden loss of load demonstrate that there are no stability concerns related to the SONGS units. [Page 195]
- The California ISO 3/22/2012 News Release states “…if both SONGS units remain offline this summer, San Diego and portions of the Los Angeles Basin may face local reliability challenges.” It then states “Fortunately, there are resource options available to help mitigate reliability risks.” The 3/22/2012 briefing by ISO’s Neil Millar addresses the mitigation options and proves there are adequate mitigation options to cover high peak demand and thus avoiding rolling blackouts this summer.
Bill Powers’ 9/21/2012 Quail Brush presentation shows SDG&E has a surplus of energy without San Onofre and does not need to build new gas plants to meet local needs. (Data based on ISO 2012 Summer Loads and Resources Assessment 3/15/2012).
- State “reserve margin” requirement is 15% to 17%. Reserve margin means additional power supply available beyond what is needed to meet the typical weather year peak load.
- Forecast 2012 peak reserve margin for Southern California (SoCal Edison + SDG&E) with San Onofre is 29%. This is over 8,000 MW above projected peak load of 27,399 MW.
- Forecast 2012 peak reserve margin for SoCal without San Onofre is 23%. This is over 6,000 MW above projected peak load of 27,399 MW.
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Chairman Jon Wellinghoff says we’ll be in fine shape without San Onofre this summer.
“…and there certainly may be the opportunity to retire certain types of resources like nuclear facilities if the state were to chose to do so,” the FERC chairman said. UT San Diego 06-04-2012
The FERC Summer 2012 Energy Market and Reliability Assessment supports this:
Without the 2.3 GW from this [San Onofre] plant, NERC forecasts that projected reserve margins in California may be close to, but still be above, the regional target of 15.1 percent.
See NERC’s 2012 Summer Reliability Assessment (page 8 and 9).
The North American Electric Reliability Corporation’s (NERC) mission is to ensure the reliability of the North American bulk power system.
Southern California Edison says they have ample power without San Onofre – OC Register 02-02-2011
San Onofre’s two reactors have been shut down since January 31, 2011 due to critical equipment problems. There have been no resulting blackouts or brownouts in Southern California. The electricity grid was able to compensate for this loss.
California has a huge amount of gas plant capacity that’s not running at any time during the day – CA Independent System Operators
Rolling blackouts have not occurred with San Onofre offline
- 1/31/2012 Radiation Leak: San Onofre has been offline since January 31, 2012 due to a radiation leak from a defective steam generator and decades of premature wear on all four steam generators. There have been no rolling blackouts. See Prediction of rolling blackouts has not occurred.
- 9/8/2011 Southern California and Arizona Power Outage: Southern California had sufficient energy for all 1.4 million SDG&E customers without San Onofre when power was restored after the major Southwestern power outage of September 8th, 2011. When power was restored, San Onofre was still off line. (Units 2 and 3 were restarted and synchronized to the electric grid within 65 and 87 hours, respectively). Southern California did just fine without San Onofre even with very hot days. The electricity grid was able to compensate for this loss of power. See April 2012 FERC/NAERC report on Arizona – California Outages on September 8, 2011 (Causes and Recommendations (P.78)
Nuclear Plant Owners Refuse to Provide Plans for Shutdown
- California nuclear plant owners have not provided plans for alternate sources of energy to replace nuclear power.
- Plans are needed in case of emergency shutdown and to prepare for license expiration of the plants. Their plan is to continue relicensing these old plants. The plants were originally designed for a lifespan of 40 years or less. San Onofre licenses expire in 2020. Diablo Canyon licenses expire in 2024 and 2025.
- The plant owners have refused to comply with state requests to provide their plan for an alternative energy source prior to relicensing.
- Nuclear power is not a reliable source of power, as shown by the months of unplanned shutdown of San Onofre since January 2012.
Percent of power from San Onofre
There are numerous percentages quoted regarding how much electricity San Onofre provides. However, the real question is not how much it provides, but how much it needs to provide. However, for those interested in the percentages, here they are:
- San Onofre provides only 5.5% of the energy CONSUMED in California, according to the California Energy Commission.
- San Onofre provides less than 7% of California’s overall electricity SUPPLY. (According to California Energy Commissioner James Boyd, California’s nuclear power plants provides approximately 13% of California’s overall electricity supply – San Onofre 2150MW and Diablo Canyon 2061MW.)
- SDG&E’s current Power Content Label shows nuclear power provides 16% of SDG&E’s 2010 Power Mix. This may include nuclear power from the Palo Verde nuclear power plant in Arizona.
- SCE’s current Power Content Label shows nuclear power provides 19% of SCE’s 2010 Power Mix. This may include nuclear power from the Palo Verde nuclear power plant in Arizona.
- See CEC 2010 Total Electricity System Power for details on this and related information, such as other sources of electricity (both in-state and elsewhere). In-state generation is reported generation from units 1 MW and larger.
- Reactor Unit 1 is being decommissioned.
- Reactor Unit 2 provides 1070MW, in service since 1983
- Reactor Unit 3 provides 1080MW, in service since 1984
Diablo Canyon (located in San Luis Obispo), is owned and operated by Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E)
- Reactor Unit 1 provides 1073MW, in service since 1985
- Reactor Unit 2 provides 1087MW, in service since 1986
Cost of Nuclear Power
Reports of nuclear power costing less than other sources of energy needs to be reevaluated in California, especially at San Onofre. For example, the cost analysis to replace the San Onofre steam generators assumed high gas prices. It also excluded the cost of storing tons of toxic radioactive waste for tens of thousands of years as well as numerous other costs. It excluded all energy efficiency alternatives, such as targeted and increased cost incentives to replace residential and commercial inefficient air conditioners and load balancing in the Edison and SGD&E utility districts.
- See energy saving tips.
- See available rebates.
- Heating and cooling are almost half of energy consumption, yet rebates are limited or non-existent for heating and air conditioning systems (HVAC).
- SCE and SDG&E are given billions of dollars of ratepayer money for energy efficiency programs. SCE currently has about half a billion dollars in energy efficiency funds that must be used by the end of 2012.
- California’s concerns about peak energy demand in the summer and carbon emissions can more effectively be addressed with more aggressive incentives and programs for central air conditioner replacements — especially in the area served by the San Onofre nuclear power plant.
- SCE and SDG&E offer residential customers no rebates to upgrade to more efficient central heating and cooling (HVAC) systems. They only offers rebates on installation costs for new air conditioning systems. The number of contractors to choose from is limited and there are other hurdles that make this program less attractive. The information is difficult to find on SDG&E’s website. They send you to a vendor website for information, without mentioning the amounts of rebates possible for installation.
- SDG&E’s Energy Efficiency Business Rebates Product Catalog lists rebates available to business. No central air conditioning systems are included.
- SCE’s Business Solutions Directory contains the most complete and current list of eligible equipment (solutions) and qualification criteria for incentives available to customers through SCE’s 2010–2012 Energy Efficiency Program. It also includes a summary of Demand Response Technology Incentives available for customers installing qualified equipment that enables load-shifting strategies. For updates on program changes (due to funding availability or other other reasons), go to SCE Energy Management Online Application Tool. SCE has recently added ice storage air conditioning installation rebates to their HVAC Optimization Program.
California Mandates 33% Renewable Energy by 2020
- California requires utility companies to increase the percentage of renewable energy in the state’s electricity mix to 33 percent by 2020.
- This process should be expedited, with nuclear energy being the first replaced with renewable energy. However, the ISO Transmission Plan (page 274) uses renewables to replace gas plants instead of California’s nuclear plants.
- ISO reported California saved 10 million pounds of CO2 output solar power in one day on August 14, 2012.
Southern California Edison stalls solar projects for years
Millions of dollars in renewable energy projects intended to provide power to facilities in California’s national parks and forests have been sitting idle for years because of Southern California Edison.
There’s 24-plus systems in the Southern California Edison area that have been installed in the last three years that we have not been able to negotiate an interconnection agreement on,” said Jack Williams, who retired this month as the National Park Service’s Oakland-based regional facilities manager. “We think we are close at times, but then nothing. We were successful with PG&E, but with Southern California Edison…. They have been a bit more difficult. We’ve raised the flag many times. It’s an issue for all federal agencies.”
California Solar Initiative – Solar Rebates
The California Solar Initiative (CSI) is the solar rebate program in California for customers of investor-owned utilities – PG&E, Southern California Edison and SDG&E. The CPUC is providing $2.1 billion to businesses, nonprofit organizations, public agencies and homeowners.
Nuclear Power is no solution to Climate Change
See NIRS slide presentation explaining why nuclear power is no solution to climate change.
- Takes too many reactors
- Too little safety
- Too much waste
- Too much carbon
- Too much emissions
- Not suited for warming climates
- Uses too much water
- Too slow to build
- Renewables and efficiency are faster, cheaper, safer and cleaner
- Too expensive
A Plan to Power 100 Percent of the Planet with Renewables
A 2009 Stanford University study ranked energy systems according to their impacts on global warming, pollution, water supply, land use, wildlife and other concerns. The very best options were wind, solar, geothermal, tidal and hydroelectric power—all of which are driven by wind, water or sunlight (referred to as WWS).
Nuclear power, coal with carbon capture, and ethanol were all poorer options, as were oil and natural gas. The study also found that battery-electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles recharged by WWS options would largely eliminate pollution from the transportation sector.
To ensure that our system remains clean, they considered only technologies that have near-zero emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants over their entire life cycle, including construction, operation and decommissioning. For example, when burned in vehicles, even the most ecologically acceptable sources of ethanol create air pollution that will cause the same mortality level as when gasoline is burned. Nuclear power results in up to 25 times more carbon emissions than wind energy, when reactor construction and uranium refining and transport are considered.
About the Authors
Mark Z. Jacobson is professor of civil and environmental engineering at Stanford University and director of the Atmosphere/Energy Program there. He develops computer models to study the effects of energy technologies and their emissions on climate and air pollution.
Mark A. Delucchi is a research scientist at the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Davis. He focuses on energy, environ¬mental and economic analyses of advanced, sustainable transportation fuels, vehicles and systems.
Fuel Cell Technology
- Examples of current fuel cell technology
- What is a fuel cell?
- 30% federal tax credit
- Clean Power Guide – comparing clean technologies
Nuclear Power in France: Setting the Record Straight
France gets nearly 80% of its electricity from its 58 nuclear reactors. However, such a heavy reliance on nuclear power brings with it many major, unresolved problems most especially that of radioactive waste. As a result, France has a hugely complex and unsolved radioactive waste problems, as well as health, environmental, and financial problems.
Like the United States:
- France has not solved its nuclear waste problem.
- French nuclear power has been costly to taxpayers.
- French reactor technology is aging and unsafe.
- French reactors, and reactor construction projects, are unreliable.
- The French do not all love their nuclear power.
- France’s nuclear power has produced serious health and environmental problems.
Thorium “fuel” has been proposed as an alternative to uranium fuel in nuclear reactors. There are not “thorium reactors,” but rather proposals to use thorium as a “fuel” in different types of reactors, including existing light-water reactors and various fast breeder reactor designs. Contrary to the claims made or implied by thorium proponents, however, thorium doesn’t solve the proliferation, waste, safety, or cost problems of nuclear power, and it still faces major technical hurdles for commercialization. See Fact Sheet by the Institute for Energy and Environmental Research and Physicians for Social Responsibility.