USGS Seismologist Dr. Lucy Jones (Pasadena) said regarding earthquake predictions:
We have no way looking forward and saying what is coming next. Which year, which day, which month — we don’t have anything that ties that down. In fact, we think it may just be fundamentally very random.
The information about how big an earthquake’s going to be may not be in the earth’s crust BEFORE the earthquake begins.
Dr. Jones discusses this in part 1 of this 3-part interview with Adrienne Alpert about earthquakes and earthquake preparedness in Southern California (ABC Newsmakers, September 2, 2012).
Watch Dr. Lucy Jones’ 9/2/2012 ABC interview:
About Dr. Lucile Jones
Dr. Lucile M. Jones has been a seismologist with the US Geological Survey and a Visiting Research Associate at the Seismological Laboratory of Caltech since 1983, and is currently the Chief Scientist for the Multi Hazards Demonstration Project in Southern California, integrating hazards science with economic analysis and emergency response to increase community resiliency to natural disasters.
Dr. Jones has authored over 80 papers on research seismology with primary interest in foreshocks and earthquake physics, especially in southern California. Dr. Jones received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Chinese Language and Literature, Magna Cum Laude, from Brown University in 1976 and a Ph. D. in geophysics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1981. more…
Dr. Lucile M Jones’ contact info:
525 South Wilson Ave.
Pasadena, CA 91106-3212
626-583-6798 – Fax