Earthquake size is unpredictable says USGS seismologist

USGS Seismologist Dr. Lucy Jones (Pasadena) said regarding earthquake predictions:

We have no way looking forward and saying what is coming next. Which year, which day, which month — we don’t have anything that ties that down. In fact, we think it may just be fundamentally very random.

The information about how big an earthquake’s going to be may not be in the earth’s crust BEFORE the earthquake begins.

Dr. Jones discusses this in part 1 of this 3-part interview with Adrienne Alpert about earthquakes and earthquake preparedness in Southern California (ABC Newsmakers, September 2, 2012).

Watch Dr. Lucy Jones’ 9/2/2012 ABC interview:

Magnitude Comparison.
See also: 

About Dr. Lucile Jones

Dr. Lucile M. Jones has been a seismologist with the US Geological Survey and a Visiting Research Associate at the Seismological Laboratory of Caltech since 1983, and is currently the Chief Scientist for the Multi Hazards Demonstration Project in Southern California, integrating hazards science with economic analysis and emergency response to increase community resiliency to natural disasters.

Dr. Jones has authored over 80 papers on research seismology with primary interest in foreshocks and earthquake physics, especially in southern California. Dr. Jones received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Chinese Language and Literature, Magna Cum Laude, from Brown University in 1976 and a Ph. D. in geophysics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1981. more…

Dr. Lucile M Jones’ contact info:
525 South Wilson Ave.
Pasadena, CA 91106-3212
626-583-6798 – Fax

About Donna Gilmore

This entry was posted in Earthquake, Emergency Planning, USGS, Video and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

8 Responses to Earthquake size is unpredictable says USGS seismologist

  1. CaptD says:

    Great article!

    Remember Fukushima PROVED that Nature can destroy any land based nuclear reactor, any place anytime 24/7/365 and ESPECIALLY those on or near major fault “zones” like CA has…

    To think otherwise is to live in Nuclear Denial* and CA cannot afford a Trillion Dollar Eco-Disaster.
    *Nuclear Denial


    The illogical belief that Nature cannot destroy any land based nuclear reactor, any place anytime 24/7/365!

  2. CaptD says:

    We are lucky that the new Chairwomen of the NRC is a highly respected Geologist because the NRC needs to start giving much more importance to potential Earth Quakes than they have in the past, illustrated by the fact that US reactors are not build to anywhere near the degree of Earth Movement standards as the one in Japan and we all know how Fukushima faired when struck by a BIG Earth Quake…

    BTW Many in Japan and elsewhere believe that the Quake not the Tsunami was the true cause of the Fukushima triple meltdown; which if true would be yet another reason to NEVER allow SORE (San Onofre Reactor Emergency) to ever be restarted!

  3. John Geesman says:

    So, a 30-minute television interview with Southern California’s most prominent earthquake specialist talking about disaster scenarios … and the words “San Onofre” never come up? Odd, that Southern California Edison, whose name as a sponsor doesn’t appear until the very end of the show, wouldn’t make sure that SONGS got mentioned along with the risks posed by the nearby Newport-Inglewood, Rose Canyon, and Oceanside Blind Thrust faults. Very odd.

  4. CaptD says:

    The Trial Of Minoru Tanaka: The high cost of investigative journalism in Japan & “the nuclear mafia

    Why information about nuclear reactors does not appear in MSM, sounds familiar!

  5. CaptD says:

    Nuclear waste dumped at “SEA”
    Ocean disposal of radioactive waste:
    Status report:

    Note it is also been dumped around California, for all to enjoy!
    Maybe that is now also part of our Background readings!

  6. CaptD says:

    DUCK & COVER ——> ••••►3-day Estimated Planetary Kp-index Monitor

  7. Pingback: 09-24-2012 Sacramento – Fish and Game public meeting on whale killing seismic surveys | San Onofre Safety

  8. Pingback: 11/14/2012 Santa Monica – California Coastal Commission meeting on whale killing seismic surveys | San Onofre Safety

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